Hindu Kush Range & West Himalayas
Hindu Kush Range & West Himalayas

HINDU KUSH & WEST HIMALAYAS

Introduction

The Hindu Kush region of north-eastern Afghanistan is at the western end of the Himalayan mountain ranges, as shown in the attached Google Earth Pro image. The Hindu Kush earthquake of 2015 struck at a depth of 231 km and affected a wide region of Afghanistan, Pakistan and India. At least 399 people were killed (mainly in Pakistan) and 2536 injured in this seismologically extremely active region due to the Indian Plate pushing under the Eurasian Plate - the same tectonic action that has produced the Himalayas (October 2015 Hindu Kush earthquake - Wikipedia).

The study zone for the graphs below has a radius of 350 km around the epicentre of the 2015 Hindu Kush earthquake. A USGS catalogue search (Search Earthquake Catalog) reveals that since 1900 this 350-km zone has endured 17 earthquakes of M 7.0-7.8, while increasing the zone to a radius of 500 km added only three more events. However, one of them was the deadliest regional earthquake - the M 7.6 "Kashmir Earthquake" of Oct 2015  (2005 Kashmir earthquake - Wikipedia) which may have killed over 100,000. Although it occurred only some 378 km southeast of the 2015 Hindu Kush earthquake as assessed from the Google Earth Pro image below, the author bases separate studies of regional earthquake dynamics centred on this Kashmir region.


Google Earth Pro image of Hindu Kush mountain range and West Himalaya region, and showing epicenter of the M7.5 earthquake on Oct 26, 2015

Credit: Google Earth Pro map

Discussion

From Figures 1-2 below it appears that there is about to be a recurrence of the Hindu Kush M 7.5 mainshock of 2015, possibly by early Sept 2026 based on data to this point in time, as modelling will not be updated again until mid July, 2026.

Graph of largest yearly earthquakes as consecutive fraction of year ocurrences within 350km radius of 2015 Hindu Kush M7.5 earthquake epicenter
Graph of largest magnitude earthquakes in consecutive New Moon periods in Hindu Kush ranges area 20025-2026

Page added/updated July 4, 2026